Voodoo Economics

It is difficult to know where to begin to decry what is happening in the Commission of the European Union. I am referring to the review of the National Asset Management Agency (“NAMA”) by the Commission. A good point of departure is that we do not know what is happening there. The Commission makes no (perceptible) effort to tell us and our Government likewise tells us nothing [useful].

The missing information is of economics [and consequent policies] following the disastrous property bubble here in Ireland. That bubble has caused havoc with the economy; it has driven unemployment upwards; it has destroyed pension plans; it has blighted the work prospects or careers of many young people.

Let’s start with something most people did not know; at least two of Ireland’s banks were and are too big to fail. That innocent phrase implies that we the citizens are to those banks as one conjoined twin is to another. We risk death if the bank expires, it is implied.

If true, how did we permit such a relationship with a private institution?

Leave all that aside. What should we do to “save” the banks?

The Government’s plan is NAMA. That plan is flawed. It has been changed more than once. We know that it has been mis-sold to the citizens of Ireland by the Government; it claimed the purpose of NAMA was to facilitate lending by the Banks to businesses. That is not true and never was, to the knowledge of the Government.

Now the plan is under consideration by the EU Commission. Specifically it is being considered by Joaquin Almunia the new Commissioner for Competition. He is in fact not all that new; he used to be Commissioner for Economics and Monetary policy. The bad news is, he is not good at his job. He failed to spot the Greek crisis that has hit the EU with the force of a runaway train; it was his job to see that problem. Instead he was in Dublin, cheerleading for the Government where he publicly endorsed NAMA. We learned his communication skills tend to emulation of an Electromagnetic Pulse.

Of course, no skills are needed if the EU “review” is just for the “optics” of the process. The heart of NAMA dictates that the citizens of Ireland will pay [consciously] way over the odds for the “impaired assets” of the banks. The pseudo words of justification for this are, “long–term economic value”. There is no such thing.

It’s voodoo economics.

Hints have been given by the Government as to the high price they intend to saddle the citizens of Ireland with. If the hints are correct, we are about to agree to pay €54 billion for these “assets”. We know for sure that this is not the value of these assets. What is the value of the assets? We must look to the cases coming before the Commercial Court. On 19th February 2010, in one case alone the asset had fallen in value from €31 million to €600,000 in a period of just over 3 years. The judge remarked that in his opinion, assets had fallen by 70% to 80% in value. He had previously guessed a fall of 50%. In short, the values are still falling. Let’s take the price of €54 billion; assume that is the book value of these bank assets. A fall of 80% would mean they are worth [now] €10.8 billion. If the case of 19th February 2010 represents the full general fall in value, the €54 billion is worth “just” €1.08 billion.

One sometimes thinks that the true home and centre of he European Union is on the heights above Prague and its poet is Franz Kafka, but a better perspective is to realize that some human capacities are not as general as might be thought. Why do we think that Mr. Almunia must be capable? What if the genius of Keynes is like visuospatial ability? People without the capacity do not know of what they are bereft, and those with the capacity cannot conceive of a person who lacks it.

Wake up Joaquin Almunia!

Willie O’Dea

The power of mythical thinking has to be experienced to be believed. Currently, in Ireland, nobody is more subject to its power than the judges of the Superior courts. (With the possible exception of the Irish catholic bishops).

Of course the legal profession is subject to the same myths as the judiciary, but that would not long outlast (I hope) the escape of the judiciary from their myths.

The myth of immediate interest is the fairytale that the Dail (Ireland’s lower parliamentary chamber) has any influence in the making or passing of legislation. It does not; legislation is originated by the Cabinet and driven through onto the statute books.

We know who is responsible, therefore, for the requirement that personal injury litigants must swear an Affidavit of Verification asserting the truth of the factual assertions set out in pleadings commenced on their behalf.

Willie O’Dea is in the Cabinet. He says, of his factually incorrect Affidavit, that when he realized his error in his Affidavit, he “put his hands up” and admitted the error. The Cabinet has endorsed this as the correct response. Consequently, no judge can, or should, ask for more of personal injury litigants.

Willie O’Dea’s understanding is not new or peculiar. His Affidavit will have contained the averment:

“I make this affidavit from facts within my own knowledge save where otherwise appears, and where so otherwise appearing I believe the same to be true.”

This statement is about appearances and beliefs. Willie was right to emphasise that his beliefs are the important thing and, of course, we know that appearances can be deceptive, especially to deponents in Affidavits.

That, clearly is what the Cabinet meant and means by the legislation imposing the obligation on personal injury litigants.

Judges take note.

Oddly, nobody has adverted to the role of the Attorney General in the Willie O’Dea kerfuffle. The Attorney General is the lawyer to the Cabinet. He clearly endorsed the view of the Cabinet, did he not? Maybe not. Whether he did or did not is not important. We are not entitled to know and nobody is asking.

But we should see him as he is, warts and all. We should not have to endure the consequence of more mythical thinking by the judiciary (and the Law Library). The Attorney General is down in the arena with everybody else. He fights for his clients. He represents their interests. He should not be accorded the deference he gets from the judiciary and the Law Library. (According to the Bar of Ireland, the Attorney General is the Leader of the Bar).

Mode of Business

We learn from the Sunday Business Post that NAMA may pay less than it previously indicated for the Irish Banks’ loans to be handed over to it (starting this very month, reputedly). We do not know anything further about this. We do not know if the report is accurate. We do not know if the report is a malicious falsehood leaked to the SBP to mislead critics of NAMA.

NAMA is a scandal. It is a scheme to transfer taxpayers’ money to private institutions without a rational justification. The irrational justification (“long-term economic value”) was mooted by the EU Commission, but it hedged it about with many conditions. We have no idea if the Irish Government and the Irish Banks have complied with those conditions. The EU did not mandate secrecy like this.

That the SBP can publish its, presumably, bona fide report and miss the real story; that its sources are unreliable and clearly manipulative of public opinion; that NAMA clearly thinks it is acceptable in this polity to behave in such a fashion and is to be condemned for it (rather than facilitated) and that covert administration is Wednesbury irrationality and a basis for Judicial Review of NAMA is a howler of a journalistic error.

Barmy

The Minister for Transport has suggested that he will require the occupiers of premises adjacent to public footpaths to clear them of snow and ice.

He has also, unfortunately, indicated that the occupier will be exempted (by the Minister) of legal liability arising from that obligation.

Why bother?

If the occupiers are free of consequences for failure, they won’t clear the pavement in the first place.

The Minister’s proposal is not suitable for legislation; it is suitable for a proclamation. He is, in effect, proposing to issue a call to arms, directed to the Nation, enjoining the citizens to embrace goodness and to avoid evil.

(The title to this post comes from one of my Christmas presents; a series of CDs of episodes of “Jeeves and Wooster”, starring Hugh Laurie as Bertie and Stephen Fry as Jeeves. My particular interest is in the Drones club and its members; it helps to understand current Irish politics by realizing that the Drones are in charge)

(Slippy pavements are not our major problem; NAMA is the big problem).

The Waste Bin

Our offices are, almost, in Lower Bridge Street and I travel down Clanbrassil Street daily to get to them. It is an ironic occasion every morning for me to join the single lane of traffic traveling north on Patrick Street in front of St. Patrick’s cathedral. Until recently there were two lanes for the north-bound traffic; now, one is a dedicated bus lane.

In 1953, Dublin Corporation determined to ensure that traffic would not be hindered by narrow streets like Clanbrassil Street and Patrick Street. They should be widened, it felt. The Corporation persisted in this feeling from 1953 to 1989 when it finally built a “dual-carriageway” along [some of] Clanbrassil St. and on into Patrick Street.

The fact that the planned Compulsory Purchase Order, to implement this, undermined the values of the properties along the west side of Clanbrassil Street and Patrick Street, from 1953 onwards, is neither here nor there.

What is of moment is this: we no longer care about traffic, that is, the private motor car. We have changed our viewpoint. We cheerfully squeeze it daily into a narrow traffic lane in Patrick Street. That’s not the only change. Dublin Corporation is now Dublin City Council: it hasn’t gone away and it is still an institution of vision.

Currently, it has a vision for a waste incinerator in Ringsend. Perhaps we need such a thing. But will we always? Will we always think it a good thing to burn rubbish? To burn it within the city?

The answer is yes, because the operator of the proposed incinerator will compel us to do it, under the terms of a contract signed by it and Dublin City Council.

Peculiarly, the property rights in rubbish may be more easily defended than the property rights in buildings.

The Club of One

The mark of a good court judgment is its intellectual quality. Some, unquestioned on delivery, are revealed as dubious with the passage of time.

There is nothing compelling about the decision of the Supreme Court in Attorney General v Hamilton [1993] 2 IR 250.

In that case, the Supreme Court decided that the collective responsibility of the Cabinet (the Government) under Article 28.4.1 implied a constitutional bar on the disclosure of dissenting views in Cabinet.

The one does not follow the other of necessity. It may be the norm that dissent is not disclosed; it may be better that disclosure not take place, generally; but it may sometimes be a good thing to make disclosure of dissent. The Supreme Court closed that off. It did so with no significant history of disclosure by Cabinet members (other than selective “leaking” by, usually, the Government itself).

The Taoiseach has adequate powers of discipline to control the members of the Cabinet. If he (or she) cannot use those powers effectively, that is evidence of a political crisis and indicates there ought to be an election. For good reason, the Courts should steer clear of situations like that.

The decision has had bad effects. It endorses a damaging idea of Government; one where the freedom of the Executive to act without challenge and with impunity is put at a higher value than the principle that the interests of the electorate are paramount.

It is a deeply anti-democratic view.

Shut up, Fintan!

The Courts belong to the public world. The speech (and writing) of the courts is public speech and public writing.

Consequently, we in our office occasionally nominate the late Conor Cruise O’Brien as our preferred witness (on any topic, in any case).

He excelled at public speech and writing. He was wonderfully combative and would not suffer fools gladly. In short, he would have made mincemeat of most counsellors. (That’s a good US word to describe a “trial lawyer”).

His gifts were self confidence and familiarity with the public world. Most witnesses lack both to some degree, especially the latter. They are vulnerable, consequently, to mendacious forms of cross-examination.

Conor Cruise O’Brien himself demonstrates this to some degree. He remarked that he recognised his enemies by their approbation of the ideas of Rousseau. This was a harsh standard. Few people know the source or sources of the ideas they use to prop up their speech, not to speak of their lives. To take everything they might say as defining them perfectly is just wrong. To challenge them to defend the propositions inherent in their speech is also, generally, unfair. After all, Rousseau, among other things, undermined the “Ancien Regime”; he pointed to the fact that social conditions were the product of bad government, not the fault of the populace in misery. These opinions would not generally be considered contentious now (among Social Democrats, anyway). Likewise, they are not rebutted by being paraded for inspection with some other doctrine of Rousseau’s, now, perhaps, considered indefensible.

What is the defining characteristic of real troublemakers is their failure to allude to any form of idea in their speech or writing. They seek instead to give the impression that they are simply representative of a general current view, undefined.

They speak in terms of the title to this post.

Judge School

In the public service strike, the courts stopped work on Tuesday the 6th of November 2009. This is of less interest than the stoppage of the previous Friday. The judges of the superior courts went to school that day and, of necessity, ceased working. Why was this interesting fact not reported by the media? More importantly, why do we not know the subject of the lessons of the day?

We owe great debts to Montesquieu but he over-egged the pudding when he asserted the primacy of the constitutional principle of the separation of powers. The Executive power will not countenance, and never has, full judicial independence.

Consequently, it is naïve to think a court is not an agent for the application of Government policy, as expressed in law (and sometimes not so expressed).

This may not be the context for the judges’ lessons, but we can hardly think they need refreshers on whether Ms. Donohoe should have won in Donohue v Stevenson [1932] AC 562.

Perhaps they needed a good talking to about the imperative to front-load legal costs on uppity Plaintiffs seeking injunctions?

Or why proposals to re-introduce the death penalty into Ireland ought to be seriously addressed, to distract from current political difficulties?

Or why the current chaos in the Irish legal system, that is the provision of discovery of documents, should persist?

Of course, the lessons may not address these things at all. They may be perfectly standard “continuous professional development” stuff, consisting of a review of recent case law on some theme, say, Tort law.

Either way, it behooves the media to at least ask what is taught at Judge school. It might tell us something about Ireland we need to know, and God knows, we know very little.

Grand Night

The King’s Inns is the only Inn of Court in Ireland. The UK has four; Middle Temple, Inner Temple, Lincoln’s Inn, and Gray’s Inn.

In the King’s Inns the students and Benchers of the Inns eat dinner in the Great Hall of the Inns during term time. Each student diner is supplied with beer and half a bottle of wine (or port). Each Bencher diner is also supplied with those drinks, and brandy or whiskey. In Ireland, every judge of the superior courts is a Bencher of the King’s Inns. In the King’s Inns the last Thursday of each term is “Grand Night”.

The drinks allocation is doubled on “Grand Night”.

The ostensible purpose of the dinners is to follow the tradition by which education was imparted to new barristers; they learned what was what by eating, and conversing, with the practising barristers.

Nowadays, they probably confine themselves to conversation about how bad the Government is, or how fortunate Ireland is to avoid the US experience with the use of the death penalty, as reported HERE by the Guardian.

Of course, by the end of a Grand Night, they may be discussing how good the Cabinet is, (especially the Minister for Finance who is qualified as a barrister) and how the Guardian is not a quality newspaper.

Money

It is far from obvious what money is.

That the price of gold has risen to an all-time high is evidence of this.

Of what real value is a piece of gold? It has some industrial use, but not much.
It endures over time, but basalt does likewise and, indeed, in the context of a human lifetime the endurance of gold is nothing outstanding; it shares that property with too many other substances. Why should it increase in value relative to any, or all, national currencies, as it has done?

It is in fact a reference point; the currencies have fallen in value relative to it.

Probably money is an economic notion more than a legal one. That notion is subject to change; consider e-money.
E-money can be encountered in a chip card which has been “loaded” with “value” and which can be used to discharge an obligation, limited to the value in the card. The possession of the card is sufficient to get the value of it. Significantly, the State need not, and usually does not, have any involvement in such e-money.

One theory of money, “fiat money”, bases it on the State control of the monetary system and the issuing of notes and coinage. “Nominalism” is an essential element of the State theory of money. Nominalism was recognized by Aristotle in the Nichomachean Ethics;

… money has been introduced by convention as a kind of substitute for a need or demand … its value is derived not from nature but from law, and can be altered or abolished at will”.

It is a principle of Irish (and UK) law that the purpose of the award of compensation by the courts is to, insofar as money can, place the injured party in the same position as if he/she had not been injured.

The State theory of money is, potentially, at odds with that principle because nominalism disregards everything save the attributed value to the currency or State “unit of account”. Nominalism disregards the changing value of the currency. It takes no account of inflation or depreciation.

The compensation principle is an expression of another principle; the need to do justice. The acceptance of Nominalism is, when it comes to compensation for injury, a breach of the requirement to do justice.

Un-adjusted money value may, in a period of inflation, greatly benefit a wrongdoer. The wrongdoer may deprive a victim of value but, due to the effects of inflation, ultimately be obliged only to make restitution of something of lesser value than the benefit he/she gained.

The Book of Quantum of the Personal Injuries Assessment Board has a similar effect.
It sets out “values” for some types of personal injury and in doing so clearly accepts the State theory of money and inherently accepts the principle of nominalism. In truth, the “values” in the Book of Quantum are not fixed values; they change to a greater or lesser degree and the underlying trend historically is to have them depreciate in value, relative to everything other than the attributed value of the currency.

The UK courts have avoided the problem by affirming that the “value” at the date of judgment is the appropriate value to determine proper compensation – [Ascot Midland Baptist (Trust) Association v Bermingham Corporation (1970) AC 874]. This approach involves taking account the value of the money; it takes account of the effect of inflation. A Book of Quantum does not.

It is worth noting that the UK Law Commission rejected the idea of the establishment of a “Compensation Advisory Board” i.e. a UK PIAB.

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